Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.149773 0.170530 0.193571 0.221121 0.253268 0.289713 0.334331
2026-01-04 0.117701 0.145483 0.179381 0.224136 0.282192 0.355661 0.456806
2026-01-11 0.099049 0.129815 0.170005 0.227094 0.307309 0.417833 0.584868
2026-01-18 0.087397 0.120013 0.165021 0.232890 0.334810 0.485744 0.733081
2026-01-25 0.077398 0.110431 0.158126 0.233747 0.353921 0.543349 0.876755
2026-02-01 0.069325 0.102228 0.151637 0.233496 0.370292 0.598399 1.027071
2026-02-08 0.062335 0.094603 0.144757 0.231154 0.382199 0.647279 1.176523
2026-02-15 0.056416 0.087850 0.138241 0.228173 0.392032 0.693563 1.330876
2026-02-22 0.052923 0.084532 0.136786 0.233406 0.416977 0.771589 1.566830
2026-03-01 0.048436 0.079040 0.130965 0.229926 0.424848 0.817657 1.745873
2026-03-08 0.045125 0.075184 0.127497 0.230205 0.439873 0.880679 1.979129
2026-03-15 0.042141 0.071585 0.124053 0.229992 0.453714 0.943550 2.228767
2026-03-22 0.040132 0.069586 0.123412 0.235402 0.480737 1.042246 2.602095
2026-03-29 0.037991 0.067142 0.121680 0.238394 0.503115 1.135260 2.991436
2026-04-05 0.036076 0.064926 0.120132 0.241529 0.526334 1.235390 3.435600
2026-04-12 0.034662 0.063528 0.120030 0.247744 0.557886 1.363938 4.013867
2026-04-19 0.032842 0.061160 0.117704 0.248663 0.576618 1.462611 4.533074
2026-04-26 0.031075 0.058740 0.115019 0.248393 0.592299 1.556511 5.073642
2026-05-03 0.029269 0.056084 0.111572 0.245880 0.601692 1.634471 5.588670
2026-05-10 0.027564 0.053495 0.108025 0.242680 0.608727 1.707183 6.115560
2026-05-17 0.026689 0.052577 0.108049 0.248297 0.641385 1.868917 7.084544
2026-05-24 0.025183 0.050186 0.104554 0.244561 0.646521 1.942028 7.704533
2026-05-31 0.024078 0.048580 0.102701 0.244861 0.663768 2.061251 8.600112